One of the most frustrating things about having a two-party dominated political system, especially in the heat of an election, is that many important points get ignored if they don’t fit the partisan paradigm. One of the best examples is the impoverished debate about Obama’s record on the economy.
The only arguments most people hear against Obama’s record come from Republicans, but their criticisms are normally incoherent attacks based on fantasies about investor/consumer confidence and government “crowding out” the private sector. And at this moment most prominent Kenesians are defending Obama’s poor record, mainly because his policies are noticeably less terrible than any proposal from Mitt Romney.
The reality is that if you believe in Keynesian economics, as President Obama at least at one point clearly did, then you must conclude that Obama made several costly mistakes that significantly hurt the economy. Below are just five of the bigger ones:
- Not using automatic stabilizers - Instead of having set amounts spent on programs in the American Recovery Act, the law should have made the spending levels conditional. For example, unemployment benefits would be extended until unemployment dropped below a certain number. The law could have been designed to have had the same official price tag, but when the economy ended up growing more slowly than the administration wanted, the amount that was spent would have ended up much larger.
- Reconciliation – There is this myth Obama couldn’t get more stimulus because there were not 60 votes in the Senate for it. This completely ignores the fact reconciliation was always an option. There is no reason Obama couldn’t have used reconciliation for a bigger stimulus (or a second stimulus) with only 50 votes in the Senate.
- Health care as stimulus – The Affordable Care Act was a huge law but it was designed to spend almost no money in the near term. Democrats could have changed the law to front-load more spending to help the economy.
- Federal Reserve appointments – For the first two years the Obama administration made very little effort to appoint individuals to Federal Reserve vacancies who would have supported stimulative monetary policies. Obama could have even made recess appoints if the Senate refused to act.
- Unspent HAMP money – The Obama administration had a pot of money they could have used as stimulus to help struggling home owners but they only spent 10 percent of it. What limited amount was spent was used in a highly ineffective manner.
I feel the last two are the most damning. People trying to defend Obama’s record from the left will often claim Obama didn’t try to get more stimulus only because Obama knew he wouldn’t be able to get the votes in the Senate. Yet here are things Obama could have done for the economy without Congress, but he chose not to do them. Given that Obama didn’t even try to spend all the potential money for stimulus he had at his disposal, it is safe to assume the real reason Obama didn’t seek more stimulus money was simply because he mistakenly believed the economy didn’t need it.
The behavior and statements of the administration clearly show that they consistently underestimated the size of our economic problems for years.
While Bill Clinton is defending Obama by claiming no president could have magically turned the economy to full employment, an honest look at the record would indicate another president could have done a better job even with the constraints Obama faced. Sadly, though, this critique of Obama’s record from the left is almost completely absent. Careful examination of Obama’s failings are completely overshadowed by how completely misguided Mitt Romney’s policy ideas are.





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This is why I read FDL. A discussion of the most important issue in this election that actually makes sense.
Sadly, for lot of people if you say “Keynesian” and Obama in the same sentence, they start asking about his birth certificate.
“missed” – yeah, he “missed” them.
Jon, he didn’t “miss” them. Whether he has been a sucess or a failure depends on which group you are in: the 99% or the 1%.
Great minds ….
It is an excellent post, isn’t it. Jon really is a first-rate thinker.
x2
On target post, Jon, which begs the perpetual question: Is he corrupt or is he inept (stupid?) Perhaps it is possible that someone could come as far along in politics as the President of the United States and be so clueless, but I highly doubt it. That leaves corrupt as the only remaining answer to the question. That Barack Obama, who cut his political teeth in CHICAGO for crissakes, is probably corrupt, is a possibility I do not highly doubt.
Agreed. His elementary school teachers mut be sooo proud of him.
I see a Pulitzer in this guy’s future. Outstanding work Jon.
And to emphasize my esteemed colleague above, mwarnick, this is why I come to FDL as well.
Both are uncomfortable explanations. I just know that in the “Hope and Change” department, he is 0 for 2.
BC, you are very asute. I know which group I’m in and I still be on the short end of the stick.
Here’s how the future historians from the Sonoran Desert will be ascibing to today’s politics and of the recent past that includes President Bush.
1. When McCain was in campaign mode, he called for a Big Confab in the Oval Office, and returned to our nation’s capital to “oversee” his Confab. Thusly, Senator Obama joined McCain’s Confab.
2. Once in the Oval Office for the Confab, McCain fell flat on his face, President Bush, backed away from the Decision-Making Table, tossed his arms into the air, and departed the Confab. Thusly, it was left to Obama to “re-organize the Confab to his liking and which included giving the Federal Reserve and the Treasury, the “green light” for carte blanche decision-making.
3. Since President Obama did not “take ownership” for this economic meltdown, he failed to hoist G.W.Bush around the neck of the Republicans, and further, he did NOT hoist G.W.Bush around the neck of the “conservative” Democrats, and equally important, Obama was also a well-camouflaged “conservative” Democrat. For in doing so, Obama could not get himself re-elected, especially when Hispanic Republicans will be voting for President Obama in this election cycle as the “best possible” among these two conservative candidates, Romney and Obama.
Consequently, 37 million African Americans, 50 million Latinos, and untold Native Americans, are safely enscounced in this “trick box” owned by America’s conservatives. And there is no Progressive Caucus in the Senate with which to “Tell the Truth and Shame the Devil and His Adherents.
Jaango
I too really think this is a great bit of commentary. I am wondering if “from the left” is a bit passe’ unless we now mean from the left leaning 1%ers (which is really Clintonian centrist or slightly right of that). The actual Left is no longer represented or presented in the MSM or D.C.
I find that a very interesting comment.
He didn’t even try, except when he concentrated on policies designed to accelerate the redistribution of wealth from the 99% to the 1%.
OBAMA Failed GREEN Energy.
One simple, easy thing:
Tax Credit for Solar Water Heating Systems for homes and businesses.
A basic solar hot water system costs $6K
Initial Outlay is is Too expensive.
Takes over 10 years to recover investment.
With a 5K federal tax credit…
People would jump all over solar water systems for their homes and businesses.
Good for business, good for economic stimulus, good for green energy. Jumpstarts Construction Industry.
Great reach around opportunity for Obama. He loves to give the Rethugs reach arounds.
Make Republicans vote against a TAX CREDIT/TAX CUT!
Obama loves Republicans.
OBama = FAIL
“…but he chose not to do them. “
Exactly. Every bill Obama has signed is exactly the bill he wanted to sign; no more, no less. Protestations to the contrary were simply offered to cover up his centrist ways.
great post.
I’m glad to see a lot of us aren’t fazed by obama propaganda coming from the msm and obomber himself.
Shortly after Obama was “elected,” the rightwing corp-owned propoganda wurlitzer went into over-drive telling ALL US citizens that Team USA IS a a “center-right” nation. I’m too lazy to get the links but I remember everyone from Fatty Boss Limbaugh to Piggy KKKarl Rove to Snarlin’ Darth Cheney ranting out this meme.
I figured then that the goose was cooked, and we weren’t going to get anything even remotely *close* to the alleged “change” most of us voted for. Not that I ever thought Obama was a progressive or liberal (don’t forget his FISA vote, folks), but…
Obama had *plenty* of opportunities to effect real change for the betterment of the 99%. No excuses. Obama *chose* not to do that. Rather Obama *chose* to enhance the 1% at the expense of the 99%. The end.
Do with that information what you will.
Great post; thanks very much.
To his public base, it’s a glitch, to his backers, it’s a feature.
It took almost 18 months for FDLers to figure out the game Obama LLC was/is playing (and we were ahead of the game), while others, notably DailyKos adherents, love’m Obama 24/7. I finally gave up reading Markos and Co two months ago due to their uncritical bias. Sadly Rachel M. Ed S. and Larry O. at MSNBC O. and Jennifer G. turn a blind eye to the man’s game.
Thing is, how many of us would not be corrupted by the money MSNBC is shelling out to these people given the state of the economy? Not that I agree with it but…
Unlike bailing out Wall Street, medical care had to be revenue neutral over ten years whereas the bankers needed money NOW. What’s more important, financially healthy stock brokers and bankers, or physically healthy citizens? Cheeez, get your priorities straight. So a few thousand people keeled over and died. /s
A huge drag on the economy is the energetic government effort by the State and Commerce departments to boost corporate profits by outsourcing investment and employment overseas, and Obama only accelerated this destructive government effort.
Without domestic investment and job protection, in the long run, stimulus doesn’t mean squat.
Even Dayen doesn’t talk about stimulus any longer. Well, hardly.
He never had any intention of seriously promoting alternative energy solutions. He is the champion of Exelon Corp. of Illinois (nuclear), Big Oil, and the oxymoronic Clean Coal.
MSNBC is the faux liberal version of FOX with a few facts and CurrentTV is MSNBC lite. Just spewers of partisan rhetoric for the distraction of the authoritarians.
Agree totally w your take. Not informative just so called leftie authorian bs. Not worthwhile.
Praise TBoww sez that these so-called opportunities were actual problems and that the President did the best he could in spite of retarded progressive obstructionists. Also too, that reconciliation doesn’t exist so why bring it up?
This is first-rate journalism of the highest order : concise ,very informative ,and based upon truth as opposed to compromise or the conformist shackles of belief in a high-minded system .FDL at its best .Thanks Jon .
MSNBC is a trap that dichotomizes itself as the only rational alternative to Fox .This makes simple-minded and ignorant people think Democracy Now ,where I saw Jane and came to FDL,is to fringy .MSM even paints Bill Moyers as too radical.
Watching those poor Wis. unionists hoping that Big Ed and Dem money would save them is a good example of believing in a faux progressivism .
Barack Obama as POTUS does have a knowable record which can be start dated at Jan.20,2009 or worked back thru Summer 2008 being it was knowable then that the Clintons had conceded,the Bush WH was being served notice by Wall St./Big American Banking that the $$ Bubble Economy based on LasVegas styled realestate/housing roulette was going to be crashing.
Barack Obama had little in way of a political record to be measured on going into 2008 and it is now knowable this being so served Barack Obama very well. Obama talks a smooth game.Barcack Obama used that skill to position himself very well as the 2008 D Party POTUS candidate. What we have found out since Jan.20,2009 however suggests Barack Obama may have an alternate history of murky CIA connections,closet R Party inclinations and a great willingness to sabotage SS in ways no sitting R Party POTUS could.
Barack Obama makes choices. Not mistakes. We should get and be clear on this being so. Sabotaging Medicare For All was Barack Obama’s choice. The IED that Obama’s ACA is and will prove to be is coming. POTUS Obama set ACA to begin in 2014 for reason. By choice. I now have read the “penalty” for not buying soon to be mandated AHIP “health” insurance may well be headed towards being $1,200 per year. It is also now sounding like even this number may ultimately be raised closer to $3,000-$5,000 range so as to make this penalty amount more persuasive towards making poor/distressed Americans pay the going AHIP rates for “health” insurance.Making them buy “health” insurance that likely will be premised on being so limited in scope it will fail to cancel acute health/medical driven bankruptcies for $$ poor/exhausted Americans. This is/will all be due to choices Barack Obama made to protect AHIP/BigPhARMA/AHA/AMA current healthcare for profit(s) USA regime(s). Barack Obama did this on purpose. It was not a “mistake”.
Mistakes?…no
Choices.
Barack Obama is not a stupid American. Barack Obama however does seem to think lots of Americans are pretty stupid. This is not a mistake of Obama’s in thinking or acting. This is Obama’s choice of thinking and acting. POTUS Obama’s record in the WH reveals this choice time after time since Jan.20,2009.
Calling what Barack Obama has done or not done “mistakes” is the product of sought misdirection on part of Obama backers,apologists and partisan enablers. Obama is not a stupid American. Plain to see Obama has made choices. About warcrimes,About warmongering. About American Empire. About Wall St. and Big Banking. About healthcare reform or no reform. About Bradley Manning and WikiLeaks. About doing fraud based austerity. About SS.
Lets not kid ourselves using the word mistakes instead of the word choices.
Only real mistake that has been made was believing Barack Obama was being honest and willing to practice integrity. Only choice now being do we not elect Barack Obama again or do we let Barack Obama get away with what Obama has done since Jan.20,2009 and let Obama keep doing more of same until early 2017. Doing so is now a choice we Americans can choose.Or not.
Allowing Barack Obama to “win” the WH for four more years a big mistake.
Well-stated shoothatarrow .Cynthia Mc Kinney said today she feared Obama more than Romney because the degree to which his tyrannical,corrupt and murderous policies have averted mass criticism is unprecedented .She said for the first time in her life she agreed with Kissinger when he said iin a historical context it is unimaginable that anyone could be given a pass from accountability on so many ”choices” that can cause the republic’s downfall and are imposing such hardship on Americans
Personally ,I believe the MSM and its monopoly interests love this corporate dichotomy of choice and its highly managed conflict to bolster ratings .Between the consequent degree of pre-Holocoust conformity and corporatized mind warp from Bernayss-inspired types of mass mind manipulation ,one must query as to where any real critique would eventuate .Real issues are beholden to the same campaign funding for obamney .
Allow me to fix a few things here …
I’ll refer to an essay by Dr. Gerry Lower here (published way back in 2005) and excerpt the revelvant part …
Dr. Lower was being far too kind with the term “self-restricted”; the DNC had every intention of carefully coordinating, timing, and calibrating the unmitigated surrender of their “Situational Acquired Keynesianism” at the first opportunity, then looked forward (not backward) into “losing” the 2010 midterms so that they could milk a convenient Republican Scapegoat to filch re-election votes. And they had a pull a Dick Cheney in order to it. The only difference is Dead Eye Dick at least had the common courtesy to use bird shot; Obama surrounded himself with progressives only to turn around a pump a slug of 00-buck right smack dab in the squishy centrist center of their fucking face …
It’s the DNC’s “winning” strategery …
Charlie Sheen would certainly approve …
How do we know what Obama ever believed, as opposed to what statements he believed would win him the next election or re-election?
Maybe the changes in his positions over the years have not been joked about as much as Romney’s, but Obama has had quite a few as well.
P.S. Reconciliation was always clearly available.
Indeed, despite all the talk about Lieberman’s having singlehandedly put the kibosh on the public option, Obamacare passed by reconciliation–after Obama personally penned the final revisions, too.
But the availability of reconciliation and passage by Congress of a bill by reconciliation, followed by approval or disapproval by the President are two different things.
For one thing, if you attempt reconciliation and cannot get 50 Democratic Senators to vote for it, you may have exposed something that you would prefer not to expose.
And then, reconciliation gets something to the desk of the President that the President may not want to approve or veto.
If you avoid reconciliation, you can always blame the Republicans and the 60 vote rule that Reid has refused to actually change, even a little, for several terms, despite all his blustering.
Then again, maybe Reid can’t get 50 Democratic votes for that, either.
Conventional wisdom: Politicians do not get kicked out of office for bills that do not pass, only for bills that do pass.
So, the sixty vote rule is a convenient way for both Parties to tell the respective bases what they want to hear, then blame the big, bad other Party for failure to pass.
That is why I smile ruefully at the fauxrage in both Parties over the opposite Party blocking passage of a bill. You knew that would happen when you filed the bill, didn’t you?
But, hell, you get paid even if you never get a single bill passed, so why risk having voters mad at you for passing a bill they may not love?
Kabuki.