President Obama’s NAFTA-style Korea Free Trade will still cost the country 159,000 jobs, despite last-minute changes to the agreement.
The policy institute EPI reported in July that the proposed NAFTA-style Korea Free Trade agreement would mean 159,000 jobs lost due to a $13.9 billion trade deficit.
The Obama administration has announced that it intends to finalize a new free trade agreement with South Korea (KORUS FTA) in time for the next G-20 summit in November. Although the U.S. International Trade Commission (USITC) projects this will have a small positive impact on the U.S. trade balance, and “minimal or negligible “ impact on U.S. employment, history shows that such trade deals lead to rapidly growing trade deficits and job loss in the United States.
The Charts below [top right - ed] compare USITC’s estimates of the impact of the forthcoming free trade agreement with Korea to EPI’s own calculation. Unlike USITC’s forecast of a small positive impact, EPI’s research shows it will increase the U.S. trade deficit with Korea by about $16.7 billion, and displace about 159,000 American jobs within the first seven years after it takes effect.
The USITC has a history of vastly underestimating the negative impacts that free trade agreements have on the U.S. economy. In 1999, it estimated that China’s entry into the World Trade Organization would increase the U.S. trade deficit with China by only $1.0 billion, and have no significant impact on U.S. employment. In fact, the U.S. trade deficit with China increased by $185 billion between 2001 (when China entered the WTO) and 2008, and 2.4 million U.S. jobs have been displaced or lost. The U.S. trade deficit with Mexico also rose rapidly after the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) took effect in 1994.
Changes to the agreement in recent days did not deal with core issues that would result in a $13.9 billion trade deficit that will cost the US 159,000 jobs. The tariff levels remained the same, as did the length of the agreement. Meanwhile, the Obama Administration can only claim this NAFTA-style Korea Free Trade deal will only “support” 70,000 jobs – they can’t even say they “save” or “create” any jobs.
EPI explains why it’s just an awful idea to even consider this kind of NAFTA-style plan:
With U.S. unemployment close to 10%, and an employment gap of nearly 11 million jobs, it would be foolish and self destructive for the United States to implement a free trade agreement with Korea that leads to further job loss.
The UAW thinks they’ll get 800 jobs out of this, while the country loses 159,000 jobs. Any union that doesn’t vocally oppose this NAFTA-style Korea Free Trade deal is complicit in the loss of 159,000 American jobs.
Read more Firedoglake coverage of the NAFTA-style Korea Free Trade agreement.




29 Comments

Support this site!
Subscribe to the newsletter
Advertise on Firedoglake
Send
us your tips
Make us your homepage
About FDL Action
That’s a lot of jobs
So, clue me in here, I’m not an 11th dimensional political genius.
Obama is getting absolutely NAILED because of unemployment and the lack of good jobs and he wants to sign a treaty to get rid of more good jobs? The Republicans will vote for the treaty and then put ads everywhere for 2012 about how Obama destroyed good American jobs.
But think of all the wonderful Hyundai Sonata autos we can buy!
Consider this: the Sonata ALMOST beat the Chevy Volt as Automobile Magazine’s Automobile of the Year. So there’s that.
Also, Kia Soul! Now with hamsters.
Somebody give a Kia Soul to Obama – at least we’ll know he’s got one even if it’s just a chunk of metal and plastic.
Good grief!
A soulless Seoul Man? *G*
If the free trade agreement results in the US losing 159,000 jobs, then we’ll have done well IMO.
Twice that number wouldn’t surprise me.
Just more evidence that the corporations own this fucking country.
And the moron element just put the bastards back in control of the house.
We’re fucking toast.
Obama is jumping the shark with this deal. The final “read my lips no new taxes” moment of full blown shark jump will be his extending tax cuts for the rich. Be it one day or 3 years.
Nothing, nothing will motivate the left wing more to primary his ass than caving on tax cuts for the rich.
I’m almost hoping he caves so he can “unleash hell” of the professional left.
And let’s not fall for the “rotating villain gambit” or the fig leaf Unemployment extension. UE should be done regardless.
FDL doing great work on the Korea agreement! Congratulations.
But let’s get off this “UAW-gets-800-jobs-and-fuck-the-rest-of-the-country” schtick. It’s a phoney construction and works as a divide-and-conquer tactic for the Chamber of Commerce.
The litmus test on trade.Does the trade agreement increase the standard of liveing of workers in both nations.Not worked out so well after bill clinton and newt gingrich created NAFTA.
Now, that’s not true. Our standard of living these days is much closer to that of an impoverished Mexican. Oh, wait …
Remember what newly-promoted Austan Goolsbee told the Canadians about Obama’s NAFTA talk: “more about political positioning than a clear articulation of policy plans.” Obama lied, 159,000 jobs died (and he promoted his slimy underling as well).
It increased Bill Clinton’s standard of living and is sure to have the same effect on Obama.
You finally made me do it. I have been avoiding the WH website since I consider the WH to be our enemy at the current time. But you forced me to go over there to see what the UAW might have said on the WH link you provided above about KORUS FTA. (I had to block 83 web trackers in the process, and ten cookies.) I admit I did not download the three PDF fact sheets offered by the WH so I have no idea what they may say about the UAW.
As I feared, I could not find any UAW statement on the one WH link you provided. I don’t see any other link to a UAW statement (Marcy didn’t have one either yesterday). I love how we are grinding on the auto workers about this crappy Korea deal, but for the sake of our credibility we need to pin our accusations against the UAW on the UAW’s own words. So far, despite digging on the toobz, I cannot find a single statement from the UAW supporting this latest version of KORUS FTA.
Have you found any where the UAW’s trashing the KORUS FTA?
I’d be interested to hear how this agreement relates to our military policies with Korea.
Are the sales of US-made military goods to Korea affected, for example? Is there any direct nexus there?
obama MUST be primaried. This dual republican, rich looking after the rich government is intolerable.
.
“So far, despite digging on the toobz, I cannot find a single statement from the UAW supporting this latest version of KORUS FTA.”
The UAW said it joined the Obama administration, U.S. Reps. Sander Levin and Dave Camp and auto executives such as Mulally in the trade agreement discussions, in what it called “an important step in giving labor a real voice in trade negotiations.”
“We believe an agreement was achieved that will protect current American auto jobs, that will grow more American auto jobs, that includes labor and environmental commitments and that has important enforcement mechanisms,” the UAW said in a statement. “We look forward to working with the Obama administration on the issue of global rights for workers — especially the right to organize and bargain collectively.”
http://www.freep.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20101203/NEWS03/101203058/U.S.-South-Korea-agree-on-automakers–trade-issues&template=fullarticle
There is no end to the greed and evil these fuckers exhibit. Thank god I don’t have any kids… the world is truly going to shit.
thanks inquisitor! ask and you shall receive. that was exactly what I could not find. appreciate your legwork.
The crazy nut conspiracists where 75% right
The paranoid weirdos who were raving against Obama as a paid corporate Wall Street stooge to the Oligarths were mostly right. They were saying this in 2008!
It’s like the Pelican Briefs movie, where the nutty conspiracy theorist happens to be right.
I used to dismissed this as pure horseshit.
I don’t buy the paranoid new world older and shadow groups. But damn, they nailed the corporate war mongering civil rights crushing part. I swear to God, these days conspiracy nuts got it a 1000 times more right than the Beltway media.
How else can we explain that despite overwhelming support for the Public Option, punishing Wall Street, Enacting too big to fail, letting tax cuts to the rich fail, truly ending the Iraq War, and pulling out of Afghanistan we got shit.
I mean even at Daily Kos with Lawrence Lessing, and at Salon with Glenn Greenwald, they are telling us wake-up. Obama is not weak nor stupid, he is doing exactly what he want’s.
You mean to tell me Obama, one of the most charismatic public speakers in history, can’t make the case that giving 700 billion to the rich is insane?
He didn’t even make it and public opinion is what 70% to let the tax on the rich expire
And before you scoff too hard let me ask you one question.
If I told you one year ago, Obama’s administration, would tell you what information you as a free citizen are allowed to view at home, on your own computer, you would have burst out laughing.
Yet he did this with Wikileaks.
Freaky times people.
The biggest surprise for me was how far to the right of Bush he is on things like wanting to be the Assassinator-In-Chief.
Yep. Told us all we really needed to know.
So we change from the original FTA where the U.S. was to abolish its 2.5 percent tariff on Korean automobiles with engine displacements of less than 3,000 cc immediately and two years later for cars of more than 3,000 cc. and go to having the U.S. abolish tariffs on all Korean cars, and immediately go to a 4 percent tariff and abolish the 4% four years later – and for this we OK’d the continued screwing of Beef via the Korean ban on US beef from cows older than 30 months because we hope to sell more cars in Korea AND we can live an extra two years with 25 percent tariff on U.S. pork imports (until 2016 rather than Bush’s 2014) and we cave to Korean demands in pharmaceutical exports and we can be special with Korea with Korean workers assigned to U.S. offices being given five-year visa rather than the current one year.
Just because the Korean FTA is drawn up in the pattern of other U.S. bilateral FTAs, including those with Australia, Chile, and Singapore that are now operative and one with Thailand that is being negotiated (others being negotiated are with Bahrain, the Dominican Republic, Colombia, Israel, Jordan, Morocco, Malaysia, Oman, Panama, Peru,the Southern African Customs Union, and the United Arab Emirates) does not make it a benefit to the US.
Indeed one area that I await comment on is the text on patent infringements. In the EU-Korea agreement (not yet ratified) there are injunctions, high damages, seizures, destruction of production materials and removal of online software repositories with a suspicion possibly enough for seizures and injunctions and an allegation enough to freeze assets – perhaps OK for hard core counterfeiters, but it destroys EU software developers because software patents are so broad in scope, doubtful in validity, and so numerous that unintentional infringement is unavoidable in the normal course of business, so competitors can always find a stick to hit software companies, companies that use software and free software projects. Plus the EU FTA has border measures where an allegation is enough to have software and software using products seized at the border where they stay seized until a civil court case makes clear whether a patent was infringed or not.
I have not seen the text – or an economic analysis (the Gerald Ford think tank ran a “everyone at full employment” assumption analysis of an earlier version that show no job loss because “everyone at full employment” but that does not pass the laugh test). I look forward to such an analysis.
This is his recovery plan by default. The housing market is in the crapper and will be for a long time. He’s already ruled out further stimulus and is in deficit reduction mode. So that leaves exports to lead us out of the recession and boost employment. And the advice he’s getting from his economic team is most likely of the “All free trade deals are always a win-win situation for everyone, regardless of the terms” variety.
Basically, this is the crappy idea for boosting employment that he’s left with after he’s already ruled out all the good ideas. And as Krugman has pointed out, if he’s really serious about boosting exports as a recovery strategy, he should get tough with China on their currency manipulation. Unfortunately, the very serious people in economics get the vapors at the mere possibility of an escalating trade war, however unlikely that might be. So they’ve ruled out anything more than a little bit of finger wagging at China.
I always thought the notion of Democrats creating jobs and especially that idiot Obama creating jobs as hysterically funny.
Hi Everyone, I am a newbie and this is my first posting here.
Obama will go down history as the best one term President of the United States Of Amerikka, what do you think?
Welcome to FireDogLake, tomrr
President Obama’s NAFTA-style Korea Free Trade will still cost the country 159,000 jobs,
But they don’t count, because they are just American jobs. Think global and the Hell with your fellow Americans, who can’t afford to live in your neighborhood – “lesser people.”