The sole defense of this massive corporate giveaway, formally known as the Senate health care reform bill, is that it would still do some “good,” helping millions of the uninsured. Unfortunately, the bill would dramatically worsen the quality of current insurance coverage for tens of millions Americans, thanks to the new excise tax on insurance plans. It is unlikely that any of the remaining “good” in this bill will outweigh the massive amount of harm.
Most of the “help” this bill will do is dubious at best. Help is being defined as giving insufficient subsides to Americans now forced by the government to buy extremely expensive, poorly regulated, junk insurance. Without banning annual limits and an extremely high out-of-pocket cap (which thanks to a massive loophole is not really capped at all), the insurance regulations are basically meaningless. Having this new, mandated “coverage” will not stop you from being bankrupted by accumulated medical debt should you get seriously ill. Insurance that does not protect you from financial ruin if you get sick makes a mockery of the entire concept health insurance.
The harm this bill will do thanks to the excise tax on employer-provided insurance benefits is enormous. The health care bill is designed with the goal of making millions of middle class Americans’ health insurance coverage much worse. That is not a bug, it is a feature.
The excise tax is meant to force your employer to cut back your insurance benefits, reduce your coverage, and increase your co-pays and deductibles. This is not the conclusion of partisan think tanks, bloggers, or activists, this is the conclusion of the non-partisan Congressional Budget Office (CBO) and the Center for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS). They CBO concluded:
[A]n estimated 19 percent of workers with employment-based coverage would be affected by the excise tax in that year [2016]. Those individuals who kept their high-premium policies would pay a higher premium than under current law, with the difference in premiums roughly equal to the amount of the tax. However, CBO and JCT estimate that most people would avoid the cost of the excise tax by enrolling in plans that had lower premiums; those reductions would result from choosing plans that either pay a smaller share of covered health care costs (which would reduce premiums directly as well as indirectly by leading to less use of covered medical services), manage benefits more tightly, or cover fewer services.
The CMS also concluded:
In reaction to the tax, many employers would reduce the scope of their health benefits. The resulting reductions in covered services and/or increases in employee cost-sharing requirements would induce workers to use fewer services. Because plan benefit values would generally increase faster than the threshold amounts for defining high-cost plans (which are indexed by the CPI plus 1 percent), over time additional plans would become subject to the excise tax, prompting those employers to scale back coverage.
To translate, they both conclude the tax will effectively force employers to scale back the health insurance benefits they offer in order to avoid the excise tax. This can be done by reducing what benefits the plan covers and/or increasing cost sharing (i.e. higher co-pays, higher deductibles, higher out-of-pocket limits, and possibly lower annual limits). If you have a good employer provided health insurance plan, it will be dramatically scaled back. Contrary to Obama’s direct promise, you will not be able to keep the coverage you currently have, and that is by design.
The real problem with this excise tax on what are dubbed “Cadillac” plans is that it is not indexed to health care inflation. In the first few years, it will only affect high-end plans, but, after a decade, it would force employers to make the vast majority of employer-provided health insurance plans much worse. A decade after reform starts most Americans will have much worse health insurance coverage as a result.
Instead of paying for reform with a tax on the richest one percent of Americans, like the House bill, the Senate bill pays for reform by worsening the insurance coverage for the vast majority of Americans. Ruining the coverage of most working class Americans to get the money for a huge corporate boondoggle that will only enrich the insurance companies while not stopping medical bankruptcy in this country does not sound like a good trade.



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and not a peep out of Labor – anyone want to take a whack as to why ?
They have been told to be good veal. They will stay that way until the moment they suddenly realize they are being lead to the slaughter. At that point it is too late.
Good read on Labor, Jon, what about FDL? Aren’t you guys in the same boat? When will FDL say enough is enough, that “EVERY Democrat running for reelection in 2010 & 2012 should be opposed if he/she has participated in squandering this once in thirty year opportunity? (And, yes, standing silent IS participating.)
Jon,
Is it possible that the entire reason that the Reid has embraced all this bs in the latest deal – which screws the American people big time – is because he knows that the latest deal is worse than any of the previous bills that were scored by the CBO and because he and the other Senate Democrats (failures) need to hide that fact in the details?
In other words, do you think that they were hoping to dazzle the American people with a decent CBO score and hope that no one bothered too much with what it took to keep this crap under $900 billion?
Of course Reid and Obama has been willing to sell the American people out for a PR win at every turn.
thank you. much appreciated. I was thinking specifically of AFL-CIO. this epic battle has disabused me of any notion of good guys, but I did think they meant it when they said no to triggers and the excise tax. If you are correct, then Trumka will have done to his base what Obama did to his
Thanks for the explanation, Jon. I’m going to look for some commentary from Naomi Klein.
Outside of the blogosphere, it seems every discussion is based on the ironclad assumption that taxes may not be used to pay for health care reform, and, equally ironclad, that it must not increase the holy deficit.
OT: OMFG– Bernanke is Time’s person of the year.
Gag– Puke
OK, I feel better now.
just posting a heads up, I still cannot get into the news desk which is kind of rediculous since this problem has been going on for a couple of days
whoever the webmaster is needs to fix that
Thus it follows. “Reform” and expanding numbers covered is by a process of diminishing services. ie the whole point of Obama’s reform is to cut expenses by cutting services. Has he no shame?.
.
49 states mandate auto insurance.
15% of drivers don’t carry it.
Mandates don’t work.
The corporate Media is desperate to save him however they don’t seem to understand the more they try and create media support or hate where there is no public desire for it or facts to back it up the more they lose audience.
Its not that people are reading less when you consider we up until recently were working more hours to get bye nope we are reading less crap.
And Helicopter Ben is as unpopular as they get this should hurt Time. Not only with us the Tea Baggers don’t like him either.
Try clearing cache and cookies. I was having trouble getting to emptywheel and news desk yesterday and that seemed to clear it up.
Given the facts in the post Obama has to pass this before we educate voters and the Media starts asking questions. Lets assume Joe does not make a last minute demand that Obama sing him christmas carols in the Senate before he votes for the bill how quick can this bill be pushed through?
Before any polls come out?
Yes, indeed. Pretty much that press conference yesterday reminded me of the ethically challenged lawyer, Billy Flynn in “Chicago” singing Razzle Dazzle ‘em. There’s an old saying: “If you can’t dazzle them with brilliance, baffle them with bullshit!” That’s where we’re at right now. I’m so disgusted, I can barely muster up enough to spit. There’s nothing left to do but kill the bill, since there’s way more in it for the insurance companies than for the American people.
Steelworkers are furious. Where does your “not a peep out of labor” come from? Some Democrats are going to be in for a big surprise in their fundraising in 2010.
cbl2 asks:
Actually that’s pretty easy – Unions want card check and Obama is holding it hostage till the Health Care Reform mess gets resolved. If/when that occurs Obama “might” move on card check.
The sad fact is that Obama is never gonna move on card check. Since he’s 100% corporate owned and operated he will never get around to pushing card check through.
To make you have perspective about Time’s person of the year:
One year “God” was Time’s person of the year.
Within two years, Time headlined the God-is-dead theology movement.
I do believe that Time is signaling that Bernanke is on his way out. The question is whether this will be through his failure to be reconfirmed, through a scandal at the Fed, or through his responsibility for yet another collapse.
Why I would like to believe give me a reason.
Only illegal or unpopular wars are allowed to increase the deficit (but the no-tax rule applies there too).
Just that quickly, the spun has begun.
Senator Tom Harkin, a dogged supporter of the public option, lowered himself today on the Bill Press Show (Air America) to grudging acceptance of the ravaged remains that now comprise the Senate health care reform bill.
After pep-talking what few changes survive, Harkin – who gleefully declared three weeks ago that the Senate had “rounded third base and we’re heading for home” – dejectedly cited Hubert Humphrey. “Sometimes you have to take half a loaf,” he said, and called the bill “one half, maybe one third of a loaf.”
But something – here it comes – “We can build on.”
Despite the Senator’s upbeat assessment, it is NOT good enough that this bill (supposedly) ends the practice of denying coverage due to pre-existing conditions; that it (supposedly) stops policy revocation. (Both of which reforms, I’m confident, contain loopholes you could drive a Blue Cross through.) Or, that it (definitely) circumvents the removal of caps on lifetime benefits by leaving annual caps intact.
Like millions of others, I believed a 60-vote majority would lead to real, immediate reform of an industry utterly devoted to NOT making good on its contracts. But it’s now clear: One group of old white guys – which has mastered the carving out of a livelihood by not making good on its promises – is not about to force another group of old white guys to stop doing the same thing.
Am I racist? Ageist? Hell, no. I’m an old white guy myself!
The 2010 mid-terms start now. Let’s get out there and FINISH this job.
(Cross-posted at TheMalcontent.com)
This is turning into a really, really expensive joke. I mean it’s been a joke for a while, but now it’s going to cost us whether we think it’s funny or not.
They expect insurance companies to fill the void left by voters and PACs.
Do you think it is time to call this bill what it is, the “Barack Obama Insurance Company Profit Enhancement Act of 2009″?
“100% corporate owned and operated”
Needs a bragging sticker logo designed like one of the “100% American owned and operated” ones…
You can OPT OUT of buying private insurance. It IS your choice even if this bill is passed. It is better to resist the fascism than to give in and obey.
FUCK NO. Any bill with a mandate in it that I actually buy for-profit private insurance is a bill I WILL ignore. Any such law is a law I WILL disobey. I will NOT go along to get along.
Fuck Obama. Fuck the Democraps. Fuck the US government. Fuck insurance companies. Fuck big pharma.
Why can’t a progressive senator, simply say:
And then really drag it out, letting the White House sweat and the GOP worry about the impact on their public perception as they grinch-out all through the Christmas season.
At least we now know for sure and for certain that America is, indeed, a Fascist state — the meld of corporate and state power alongside the dismissal of the individual.
Well, first, I’m one of those poor people that might get subsidies. I guess its like saving 150000 Holocaust victims, when you really should be trying to save about 6 million. I guess I should feel good. Of course, when people get hit with those mandates they’re going to hate, and I mean really hate, the Democratic Party. We could lose the country for a generation. That will be the party that mandated that I buy crappy coverage that won’t cover me when I get sick. Political suicide.
Two, those subsidies sound a whole bunch like 1000 dollar vouchers for private schools that cost 8000. No thank you. Please don’t save me, Ezra Klein. I suppose they might be manageable when dems are in charge but I have a sneaky feeling they’ll turn into payday loans once republicans get back in power and it looks like they will be getting back in power.
Three, as an african american, I know how those mandates will be enforced once republicans gain power again. The “enforcement” will be aimed at the poor and unemployed. It wouldn’t surprise me if it looked like crack/cocaine sentencing disparities. Just awful. I got a bad feeling about this….
Philip Shropshire
http://www.examiner.com/x-10379-Pittsburgh-Progressive-Examiner
Without mandates, what would the percentage be?
Not so, under Barack Obama’s leadership. He is dedicated to keeping the status quo while treating the worst of its symptoms by throwing 80+ billion federal dollars per year to the corporations that caused the problem. He’d fix nothing.
I won’t carry it. I will pay cash for doctor visits and pray I don’t get “really” sick until I can go on Medicare.
Which means I’ll be bringing any health problems with me into Medicare in a worse state that might have been more easily taken care of earlier at the preventative stage.
What’s the chances of Bernie Sanders not providing the 60th vote on this pile of shit and killing the whole damn thing, thus denying the insurance and pharmaceuticals their windfall? This would also provide some egg on the faces of the smirking Lieberman, Reid, Obama and the whole fucking bunch of sniveling, cowardly, spineless bunch that have bent us over and broke it off in us. And hopefully cost them their next elections.
I for one absolutely refuse, cannot afford, and will not comply with buying mandated insurance without a public option.
There’s no way for me to know that.
But as an example, my state requires yearly auto safety/emission inspection. I had an old car that wouldn’t pass for a couple years. I drove without the sticker and paid the fine whenever I got cought because I couldn’t afford a new car.
People who can’t afford insurance can’t be mandated to pay for it.
The people who can afford it and don’t pay for it should be mandated.
Now that rescission is being outlawed (assuming a bill passes) the only way left for insurers to maximize the difference between what they take in in premiums and pay out in coverage is to deny coverage. These managment of these corporations have a fiduciary duty to maximze return to shareholders. Customers not infrequently have to fight to obtain coverage under various state laws like little FTC Acts (consumer fraud/deceptive trade practices). What effect does the proposed bill have on an insured’s ability to force coverage under state laws? Does the law provide insurance companies with new pre-emption arguments? I’d be interested to hear from anyone who has analyzed the proposed legislation from a consumer protection & federal pre-emption perspective. Any limitations on damages for insurance companies?
Using new, and typically meaningless or profit enhancing, federal regulation as a means of pre-empting costly lawsuits brought under state law has been a recent trend of our corporate masters. They employ the federal government, whose regulation & big government they constantly rail against, to castrate state consumer protection laws. So they get two things, federal direction of more money into their coffers and enhanced immunity from state laws. And they use progressives’ willingness to use the federal government to solve a problem as a tool against progressive interests.
Plenty of peep. No results.
The NY Times had a front page article about organized labor’s full court press on this issue. AFL reps were visiting Senators and House members from 16 states. Not surprisingly, the picture showed a labor rep in a cheap three piece suit who looked like a leg breaker complete with outdated mustache and a beefy, out-of-control, look. He looked like a cross between Gazzo from the Rocky films and something more low rent. The Times is obviously trying to make labor look very bad. No surprise, there. Maybe they were a left wing paper at one time but the NYTimes heels at the call of the advertisers for years now.
The problem is that organized labor is down below 13% of the work force and they are ignored in favor of the insurance companies and Wall Streeters. Have been for years. The percentage is roughly equal to where we were before FDR and friends passed the Wagner Act. The good news is that the percentage had slightly increased the past two years but I don’t know
Jane has a new post up: “Chris Dodd Embraces Secrecy and Bailouts, Redux”
snark about Time’s reliability in picking significant persons of the year.
But who knows? We could be heading for another financial catastrophe. Or maybe people will find out that he wants to kill Social Security.
Me too. I guess the insurance police will come and take me to jail.
Now if 45M people did this and refused to buy in or pay a fine, the guvmint would be in quite a little pickle.
It is beyond time for some real civil disobedience.
You know, the whole public option is really not what it says, that’s the problem folks – it’s really a JOBS bill, a Slavery Retribution Act, which is why the DBC wants it so bad, and it’s so obvious to the righties that it will increase Fed Employ by half a million G1-G12s – most of whom have GED’s – making decisions about our health care. If it were only a one page regulatory instrument it would go through in an hour. But it’s now two thousand pages of hiring documents to put out of work MSW’s and illiterate GED’s to work for Uncle Sam – no wonder it’s going down in flames!
Passing the piece of shit that the senate cooked up, or, not passing anything at all will have the same immediate effects:
1. Fewer and fewer people will be able to afford and/or get health insurance…
2. Health insurance premiums will continue to rise much faster than inflation rates taking up a larger percentage of take-home pay…
3. The daily death rate of those who do not have or cannot afford health insurance will rapidly rise from the current rate of 122 daily, and…
4. The dumbed-down electorate will blame it all on anybody and anything but themselves.
As promised, this will be the “Change We Can Believe In”.
Give the pee-in-your-pants “center right” Americans what they want – and deserve – for being status quo morons…
You know, the whole public option is really not what it says, that’s the problem folks – it’s really a JOBS bill, a Slavery Retribution Act, which is why the DBC wants it so bad, and it’s so obvious to the righties that it will increase Fed Employ by half a million G1-G12s – most of whom have GED’s – making decisions about our health care. If it were only a one page regulatory instrument it would go through in an hour. But it’s now two thousand pages of hiring documents to put out of work MSW’s and illiterate GED’s to work for Uncle Sam – no wonder it’s going down in flames!
WOW!! REALLY??? U have odd out-look on things…
u should see some of folks on the DKos they ripped Arianna huffington and Howard Dean for suggestion to “kill the bill.” I’d kill that weak bill myself because it’s not health care reform.
Don’t worry about a civil uprise over the penalties for not having health insurance – The civil unrest will come because the dumbed-down electorate will realize that they can’t afford health insurance or health care and that being “center right” pussies have just gotten them reemed in the butt.
So sad that middle class Americans will have to start to die to prove the folly of what’s goin’ down now.
I agree with ya “da truth”.
The Daily Kos is a vivid example of what’s wrong with a large percentage of our fellow liberals. They are pussies who won’t fight with bare knuckles when real reform is needed. They will accept crumbs when a full meal is needed to end hunger.
We have to fight to dump the peice of shit that the senate came up with because the final result will be the same as passing it. Namely, more Americans will not be able to afford health insurance or health care and big pharma and the health insurance barrons will get even richer…
I am so sick of this F$^&ing B&*^S*&T! I just knew this whole thing would be a circus of lies when it first started gearing up. We have been deceived once again by everyone. I had the same thoughts a few days ago that the backroom deal was already made, that they were using Lieberman as a scapegoat, but this is exactly the bill they planned all along.
If they were serious about Healthcare reform, they would go to reconcilliation and they could do the bill on one page starting with: “Now comes before the Senate, Medicare benefits currently restricted to ages 65 and up will now be extended to all Citizens regardless of age, effective immediately.”
Although Medicare might not be perfect, it is a far cry better than these ruthless Wall Street CEO’s murdering 45,000 people a year by spreadsheet and bankrupting 78,000 families a year with scurilous fine print BS contracts for coverage.
At least Medicare would have oversight from Congress and we can vote people in and out of that position. Unless you are a major shareholder of all the big health insurnace corporations, you have no say and very little choice but to bite the pillow as they see fit.
This is simple and still would allow consumers to keep their benefits if they chose. If it is this simple and isn’t getting done, we are being sold-out people, plain and simple.
I wonder if it’s possible to estimate where the USA would rank under this “reform”, according to the World Health Organization’s healthcare ranking system.
Will we soon be singing, “We’re Number 5″ or will it be, “We’re Number 191″?
The oligarchy has been trying to exterminate the middle classes for 40 years now. The relatively miserable state of health care in this country is just another means to that end. They have designs on a fascist corporatist nation. Middles classes always cause problems in those type governments. Once the middle class has been largely wiped out, the Oligarchy can finally, cravenly metastisize into Fascist Corporatism.
I can’t help but think that most people have NO idea what is going on here. The person who posted “will they figure it out before it passes” (more or less) was on track. I don’t think “they” will figure it out until the bills start to come in the mail, and then “they”–everybody who isn’t following it now–will scream. I can’t believe it is common knowledge that, 1. they will be required to buy insurance; 2. that requirement will be enforced by the IRS; 3. The IRS enforces these things by attaching your wages and it is EASY for them to do that; 4. the insurance you MUST buy will be as expensive as the insurance companies want it to be, and 5. that insurance will be weak, have high co-pays, large deductibles, and (whaddaya bet) have a bureaucrat in between you and your doctor. Hey, what’s not to like except—ALLL OF IT!!!! Damn this is outrageous and this train don’t slow down, it just keeps going.
I’m thinking it’s you with the GED. It’s GS (as in government service) 1 thru 12 –there aren’t any one’s. A 12 requires a great deal more education than you have. I’m surprised you could navigate to this site, what, did your mom leave her computer on with you in the room?
Why not call it the Private Health Insurance Stimulus bill?
The worst is already happening in anticipation of the bill. We just found out that next year copays and deductibles will rise even more for some procedures–the example was a routine colonoscopy–so that these procedures will have to be paid completely out of pocket (and emergency, for-cause colonoscopies are not covered at all)! Another detail is that part-time employees who qualify for healthcare (under 35 hours per week but over 20) can no longer have family members covered under the policy.
Voters are in for a shock by next year at this time.
Savage was just talking about this bill on 101.5 The Truth in Denver. I’m sure this will not be the last time he talks about it.
Lady Truth